MLB MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: Judge, Ohtani Surge Ahead as Big Favorites
The Los Angeles Dodgers' reign of terror might be the most evident in the MLB MVP odds.
The Dodgers feature two players in the top 10 of the NL MVP oddsboard, which includes the reigning NL MVP and this year's favorite, Shohei Ohtani. Mookie Betts is also right there and got off to a strong start despite a brutal illness reportedly costing him 25 lbs before the campaign started.
As far as last year's AL MVP is concerned, Aaron Judge finds himself atop the oddsboard at minus money, signifying his dominance over the league again.
Judge and Ohtani are favored to defend their crowns as the 2025 baseball season begins. Can someone knock them off the throne?
🔢 Odds to win American League MVP 2025
Live odds for the 2025 AL MVP Award from our best MLB betting sites.
🧑🏫 AL MVP odds analysis
April 16, 2025: It's Judge leading the AL oddsboard, and Witt is now trading as a distant solo second thanks to the former's hot start.
Judge's odds have shifted significantly since the season started, with the best price going from +310 to now minus money. The best price of -170 comes with an implied probability of 62.96% that Judge will win.
The Yankees superstar led the league last year with 58 homers and 11.2 fWAR, among various other major statistical categories, including a career-best OPS of 1.159.
For his part, Witt enjoyed a fantastic season while posting one of the best second-place performances ever. He was one of just three players in MLB to go 30-30 last year, and Witt earned a Gold Glove for his outstanding defensive work. He led all of MLB with his .332 average, and his .977 OPS sat fourth.
Despite Judge being significantly favored, it's Witt who bettors at BetMGM are backing heavily. Both the highest ticket and highest handle percentage are on the Royals shortstop.
🤖 AI prediction for AL MVP
This is what ChatGPT had to say when we asked it for an AL MVP prediction:
"Based on recent trends and emerging talent, Bobby Witt Jr. of the Kansas City Royals is a strong contender for the 2025 American League Most Valuable Player (AL MVP) award. Witt Jr. has demonstrated exceptional skills, finishing second in AL MVP voting in 2024 with a .332 batting average, 32 home runs, and 109 RBIs. His combination of power, speed, and defensive prowess positions him as a leading candidate for the upcoming season.
Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees, the 2024 AL MVP, remains a formidable contender. After a season where he hit 58 home runs and drove in 144 RBIs, Judge continues to be a dominant force in the league. His consistent performance and leadership make him a top pick for the 2025 MVP race.
Other notable candidates include Gunnar Henderson of the Baltimore Orioles, who has shown significant improvement and consistency, and Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros, known for his exceptional hitting ability. Additionally, Mike Trout of the Los Angeles Angels, despite recent injuries, remains a respected player with the potential to make a strong comeback."
🔢 Odds to win National League MVP 2025
Live odds for the 2025 NL MVP from our best sports betting apps.
🧑🏫 NL MVP odds analysis
April 16, 2025: Ohtani remains the ultimate baseball unicorn, and that's expected to be on full display this year.
The megastar became the first player in MLB history to go 50-50 last year, leading the NL in fWAR despite not playing a position. His Dodgers are the favorites to repeat by the World Series odds, and a significant reason for that is because Ohtani will return to the mound this season.
However, a number of talented outfielders are already pushing the megastar on the oddsboard. Ohtani's odds have lengthened from Opening Day, and Corbin Carroll, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Kyle Tucker all pose very serious threats as we enter the middle of April.
The highest handle percentage at BetMGM is still on Ohtani, though, showing that the public doesn't believe he can be dethroned.
🤖 AI prediction for NL MVP
This is what ChatGPT had to say when we asked it for an NL MVP prediction:
"Based on recent trends and emerging talent, Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Dodgers is a strong contender for the 2025 National League Most Valuable Player (NL MVP) award. Ohtani's exceptional performance in 2024, where he became the first player in MLB history to hit 50 home runs and steal 50 bases in a single season, has set high expectations for his future achievements. With his return to pitching in 2025 after recovering from Tommy John surgery, Ohtani's ability to contribute both offensively and on the mound positions him as a leading candidate for the MVP award.
Additionally, players like Juan Soto of the New York Mets, who had a standout season in 2024, and Elly De La Cruz of the Cincinnati Reds, known for his speed and power, are also emerging as strong contenders. Soto's move to the Mets and De La Cruz's continued development add excitement to the MVP race."
📜 MLB MVP odds history
🏆 Past AL MVP winners
| Year | Name | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge, NYY | OF | +550 |
| 2023 | Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DH/SP | +200 |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge, NYY | OF | +2000 |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DH/SP | +3000 |
| 2020 | Jose Abreu, CWS | 1B | OFF |
| 2019 | Mike Trout, LAA | OF | +125 |
| 2018 | Mookie Betts, BOS | OF | +2500 |
| 2017 | Jose Altuve, HOU | 2B | +1200 |
| 2016 | Mike Trout, LAA | OF | +160 |
| 2015 | Josh Donaldson, TOR | 3B | +1600 |
🏆 Past NL MVP winners
| Year | Name | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Shohei Ohtani, LAD | DH | +900 |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr., ATL | OF | +900 |
| 2022 | Paul Goldschmidt, STL | 1B | +6600 |
| 2021 | Bryce Harper, PHI | OF | +1700 |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman, ATL | 1B | +2500 |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger, LAD | OF | +3000 |
| 2018 | Christian Yelich, MIL | OF | +15000 |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton, MIA | OF | +4500 |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant, CHC | 3B/OF | +1000 |
| 2015 | Bryce Harper, WAS | OF | +2000 |
💡 How to bet on MLB MVP
First, choose a reputable sportsbook offering MLB MVP futures. Check the odds for various players. For instance, if Aaron Judge has +400 odds and Gunnar Henderson has +800, Judge is favored to win.
Place your bet by deciding how much to wager. If you bet $100 on Judge at +400 and he wins, you’ll get $500 back ($400 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on player performances throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
Remember, future markets always see plenty of movement. It’s all about performance and perception. If a player performs exceptionally well or poorly, their odds will shift. Injuries to the player or their competitors can also significantly impact their MVP chances. The success of the player’s team can improve their odds as well.
Public betting trends play a role; if many people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to balance their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions can also influence how people bet, which in turn affects the odds.
📖 How to read MLB MVP odds
Odds are typically shown in a format like +400 or -150. Positive odds (e.g., +400) indicate how much profit you'd make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +400 odds would win you $400, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $500. Negative odds (e.g., -150) show how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $150 bet at -150 odds would win you $100, plus your $150 stake, totaling $250.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a player winning the MVP award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood.
For example, if Shohei Ohtani has +400 odds and Freddie Freeman has +800 odds, Ohtani is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Ohtani and he wins, you'd get $500 back ($400 profit + $100 stake).
Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns. Understanding the odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
❓ MLB MVP FAQs
Who are the MLB MVP favorites?
Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees and Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites by the MLB MVP odds in the AL and NL, respectively.
Who won the MLB MVP Awards last year?
Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani won his third MVP award and first in the National League during 2024.
In the American League, New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won for the second time.
When will the MLB MVP Awards be decided?
The winners of the 2024 MLB MVP Awards were announced on Thursday, Nov. 21.
Who has won the most MVP awards?
Barry Bonds' seven career MVP awards are the most in MLB history. No one else has won more than three, with 10 players tied at that number.
🏟️ MLB betting odds pages
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