2025 NASCAR AI Picks Today: ChatGPT's Predictions & Full Projected Order for Food City 500 at Bristol

Our NASCAR AI predictions are on a winning streak after Denny Hamlin picked up his second straight Cup Series victory. We're turning to ChatGPT again today for our Food City 500 predictions at Bristol ahead of this afternoon's race at 3 p.m. ET (FS1).

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Bristol predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, and favorite long shot, as well as the results for every driver for today's 39-car field.

Read on for our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order to complement our 2025 Food City 500 predictions at Bristol.

🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions for Food City 500 at Bristol

We've previously used ChatGPT to predict the March Madness bracket, Super Bowl picks, and even Canada vs. USA predictions, and we're once again turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot to predict the winner of today's Food City 500 at Bristol.

We trained ChatGPT's latest and most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting this weekend's winner:

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win Food City 500 at Bristol

ChatGPT predicts Denny Hamlin will win the Food City 500 at Bristol. His best odds are +460 via FanDuel, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $46 profit with an implied win probability of 17.86%.

Here's why the AI model is predicting Hamlin will win his third straight race today at Bristol:

✅ Veteran short-track mastery: Hamlin’s extensive experience on physical, contact-prone short tracks like Bristol gives him the ability to manage chaos and avoid the kind of incidents that often take out less seasoned drivers.

✅ Joe Gibbs Racing’s top-tier package: His team is known for dialing in setups perfectly for Bristol, and their race strategies - especially on caution-filled laps and aggressive restarts - are well suited for this challenging venue.

✅ Proven consistency under pressure: Hamlin’s track record shows he can not only compete but excel in high-pressure situations, making him one of the few drivers likely to navigate Bristol’s relentless attrition effectively.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (20% win probability)

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💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet for Food City 500 at Bristol

ChatGPT predicts Kyle Larson will finish in the top three as its best NASCAR prop bet for Bristol. Larson's best odds to score a top-3 finish are -120 via DraftKings, which would turn a winning $10 bet into an $8.33 profit with an implied win probability of 54.55%.

Here's why the AI model is predicting Larson to finish in the top three today:

✅ High-quality package from Hendrick: Larson’s 3rd-place qualifying combined with Hendrick Motorsports’ consistently competitive setups at Bristol gives him a strong chance to translate his starting position into a podium finish.

✅ Proven short-track proficiency: Larson has shown time and again that he can navigate the high-contact, physically demanding environment of Bristol. His experience on such short tracks adds an extra layer of assurance for a top-3 finish.

✅ Track position advantage and consistency: Starting near the front provides Larson with clean air and fewer early-race incidents to contend with, which is crucial at Bristol. His consistent driving style further improves his odds of sticking at the front through the chaos of cautions and restarts.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (65% chance of top-3 finish)

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🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot to win Food City 500 at Bristol

ChatGPT predicts Joey Logano to win the Food City 500 as its best long shot at Bristol. His best odds to win are +2500 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $250 profit with an implied win probability of 3.85%.

Here's why the AI model is predicting Logano as its best long shot today:

✅ Proven track record at Bristol: Despite qualifying a surprisingly low 38th, Logano has a history of strong performances at Bristol and similar high‑contact, short‑track ovals. His two wins here and consistent competitiveness on short tracks indicate that if his car comes together during the race, he can make a dramatic charge from deep in the field.

✅ Elite team advantage: Driving for Team Penske, Logano benefits from one of NASCAR’s most competitive teams. Even if his qualifying was off the pace, the team’s ability to dial in the right setup and execute strategic pit stops at Bristol could allow him to overcome a poor starting position.

✅ Racecraft under pressure: Logano has repeatedly shown that he can recover and win even after a setback. Bristol’s chaos - marked by frequent cautions and restarts - can provide the opportunity for a proven, aggressive driver like him to exploit the field’s mishaps and climb the order.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐ (5% win probability)

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🤖 Food City 500 AI projections for full finishing order

Here is our predicted Food City 500 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 ChatGPT's full NASCAR finishing order predictions at Bristol

1. Denny Hamlin 🥇 (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) - A proven veteran on short tracks, Hamlin’s ability to manage aggressive racing and caution-filled restarts makes him our pick to win.

2. Kyle Larson 🥈 (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) - Using his raw talent and strong Hendrick package, Larson capitalizes on his experience to climb near the front.

3. Joey Logano 🥉 (No. 22, Team Penske Ford) - Despite a deep qualifying position, Logano’s aggressive, opportunistic driving lets him surge up the field when the race goes chaotic.

4. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) - Leveraging his racecraft and Hendrick’s precision setup, Elliott makes a late push to secure a top finish.

5. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) - Even though he started on pole, Bowman is challenged by the early short-track mayhem and finishes in the top five.

6. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) - A consistent and smooth driver, Bell sustains a strong pace amid the physical racing, keeping him near the front.

7. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports Chevrolet) - Capitalizing on his experience, Stenhouse shows resilience on Bristol’s contact-prone surface to punch his way into contention.

8. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske Ford) - Blaney’s knack for navigating traffic and his clean air advantage propel him up into the top eight.

9. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing Ford) - Keselowski’s strategic driving helps him avoid early incidents and work his way toward a solid finish.

10. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) - The young talent stays with the leaders thanks to a strong car and good track awareness.

11. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota) - Briscoe’s aggressive moves and JGR’s competitive package allow him to chip into a top-11 finish.

12. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet) - The risk-taking Allmendinger battles hard in the closing laps, picking up positions in the thick of the action.

13. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet) - Haley capitalizes on a steady pace and opportunistic restarts to secure a mid-pack spot.

14. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet) - With an aggressive but unpredictable approach, Hocevar manages to maintain a presence in the upper midfield.

15. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports Chevrolet) - McDowell’s early speed is tempered by Bristol’s attrition, landing him solidly in the midfield.

16. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brothers Racing Ford) - Berry’s aptitude for close-quarters racing sees him holding a steady mid-pack position.

17. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing Chevrolet) - Despite a modest package, Dillon’s aggressive style helps him finish in the central part of the field.

18. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet) - Busch’s wealth of experience allows him to weather the short-track challenges, although he doesn’t quite crack the top 10.

19. Austin Dillon (No. 3, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet) - The solid RCR entry manages to climb as long as he avoids the frequent on-track incidents.

20. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports Ford) - Smith’s package isn’t ideal for Bristol, and he’s forced to grind his way to a lower-midfield finish.

21. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet) - Suarez’s opportunistic driving picks up a few spots in a race defined by chaos, though he remains in the middle of the field.

22. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing Toyota) - The up-and-coming Herbst battles through the frenetic pace to edge into the upper mid-pack.

23. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet) - Despite a strong car from Hendrick, Byron is buffeted by the short-track mayhem, landing him just outside the upper midfield.

24. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing Toyota) - Reddick’s speed is offset by some on-track incidents, resulting in a mid-pack finish.

25. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club Toyota) - Jones’ handling struggles in the bumper-to-bumper environment push him toward the back of the main group.

26. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing Ford) - A steady driver who suffers from some pit-call variances, Preece finishes in the lower mid-pack.

27. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports Ford) - Gilliland is caught up in early-race incidents and contact, sliding into the lower mid-field.

28. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports Ford) - Gragson’s aggressive style is hampered by Bristol’s physicality, dropping him further back.

29. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club Toyota) - Nemechek’s inconsistent package at Bristol leads him to a near-tail finish.

30. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team Ford) - Custer’s struggles on a short, abrasive track push him into the back portion of the field.

31. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing Ford) - With one of the least competitive packages, Ware is forced toward the rear.

32. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet) - Despite his bold moves, Chastain is hampered by the track’s attrition, finishing near the back.

33. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet) - The international star finds Bristol’s short-track environment challenging, resulting in a lower-field finish.

34. Corey LaJoie (No. 01, Rick Ware Racing Ford) - LaJoie’s inexperience at Bristol leads to a deep, end-of-the-line result.

35. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing Toyota) - Wallace’s aggressive approach can backfire at Bristol, and he ends up further back than expected.

36. Jesse Love (No. 33, Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet) - Love is unable to extract the speed needed on the tight track, falling toward the tail.

37. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske Ford) - Cindric’s race is disrupted by on-track chaos, causing him to drift down the order.

38. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing Ford) - Buescher’s RFK package struggles to compete in the bumper-to-bumper conditions, putting him near the end.

39. Josh Bilicki (No. 66, Garage 66 Ford) - With minimal Cup experience and a low-tier ride, Bilicki is the final finisher in a race marked by high attrition.

💰 NASCAR best bets for Food City 500 at Bristol

📺 How to watch the 2025 Food City 500 at Bristol

📅 Race date: Sunday, April 13
🕒 Start time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Bristol Motor Speedway (Bristol, Tenn.)
📺 TV: FS1 | Streaming: Fox Sports App

🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Food City 500 at Bristol

Looking to bet on the Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway? Here are our best sports betting sites for NASCAR as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of today's race at 3 p.m. ET.

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
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• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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